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If that is the case, the advantage could go to the visitors. In their win in Buffalo earlier this season, Mac Jones threw just 3 passes for 19 yards. The Pats relied on their consistent running game and strong defense en route to a win. In addition, Josh Allen was not great down the stretch. He threw 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions in his last 2 games, which came against the Jets and Falcons.
The Patriots have a much stronger defensive unit than both of those teams, and Belichick should have a solid game plan in place to give Allen some trouble. On the year, Allen finished with 15 interceptions, which was the second-most in the league. One turnover could be all New England needs to make things very interesting. Head coaching experience could also be a factor in this one.
Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott is in playoff games, while Belichick is All in all, grabbing 4 points with New England seems like a viable option. Both of these teams possess very strong defensive units. During the course of the regular season, the Bills led the league by allowing just New England gave up an average of These were also the 2 best scoring defenses in the league during the regular season.
The Bills held their opponents to a league-low The Patriot defense has been able to stymie Allen throughout his career, and Belichick should be able to dial up a solid defensive game plan in this one. Allen has a He has a career rating of Offensively for New England, they may look to slow the game down with the running game. Damien Harris has eclipsed the yard mark on the ground in both games against Buffalo this season, and it seems unlikely that they ask Jones to carry them in his first career postseason start especially on the road.
Look to the under. Nothing seems more inevitable in sport than a Brady-led team winning in the postseason, the year-old having wracked up 34 playoff wins, 18 more than Joe Montana, who is next best in the all-time individual playoff wins standings. Win number 35 is strongly fancied to occur with the sportsbooks making the Bucs the second-biggest favorites of the wild card round.
However, as likely as it is that Tampa Bay win, they could struggle to cover. The strength of the Bucs clearly lies with the offense which, despite some notable injuries, ranks first in total offense DVOA and has scored 30 or more points on 10 occasions in the regular season. That offers the Eagles and their number one rushing attack more than a chance of running the champs close.
Few teams, including the Saints, who have the number one ranked rush defense, have found a way to stop Philadelphia to this point since they moved to a ground and pound attack.
The defense held Brady and the Bucs in check for long periods when the two sides meet in the regular season and the Philadelphia defensive line is good enough to cause Tampa Bay issues. Try to put out of your mind the Eagles getting torched by Dallas in Week 18, they basically punted that game, and instead remember that the Eagles are ATS in the last 11 playoff games as an underdog, while the Buccaneers are ATS in their last 5 wild card games.
Both these teams can put up points in a hurry, despite the Eagles wanting to keep the ball on the ground, and the over holds plenty of appeal in this one. Philadelphia averaged Hurts produced a good road performance against a solid defensive front in Washington in Week 17 and that should stand him in good stead. The Bucs offense speaks for itself.
They are averaging over 32 ppg at home this season and will get Leonard Fortunette back for this game. Playoff Lenny enjoyed an excellent regular season, including helping himself to a pair of scores against the Eagles and adds an extra dimension to this deadly offense.
More specifically, the rushing offense has really taken a dip, dropping from 7th to 26th in rush success rate. This is all about the number, as 51 is the most landed-on total in the NFL since I expect San Francisco to move it effectively on the ground, and if they can convert those red zone opportunities into touchdowns, not field goals, this game should get into the 50s.
For those reasons, this is only a 1-star play on the over. Yes, Kansas City really should beat the Pittsburgh Steelers as the Chiefs prepare to play in the wild-card round for the first time in 4 seasons, but the 7th seeds are getting such a big start now that they have to be the choice.
Last year, 5 of the 6 wild-card games were decided by 7 or more points — but none was settled by more than Offer valid for new users only. Full terms available at Unibet Sportsbook.
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Horse Racing. NHL Picks. Blue Jackets. View Prediction. Puck Line Pick. CAR Game Total Pick. Playable at that number. Ryan Hodges. Money Line 3-Way Pick. Game Totals Pick. Over 6. Over 6 available at time of publishing. Tyler Mortimer. Money Line Pick. Under 6. Connor Grootenhuis. NSH Under 6 Buffalo Sabres vs Nashville Predators. STL Blues Win Under 5. CAL Flames Under 6 available at time of publishing. Chadwick Wetzel.
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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, p. The Bills played better down the stretch than the Patriots. That will continue in this home game for Buffalo against its division rivals. NFL playoff odds :. Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a.
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